The long-term variations of the total column ozone amount, temperature in tropostratophere, UV-radiation
above Kyrgyzstan and solar activity are analyzed. The deviations of monthly average meanings of UV-radiation from norm are presented, the anomaly periods are allocated. These data are analyzed for 22
and 23 cycles of 11-year solar activity. The parameters of solar activity such as the variations of sunspot
numbers, their century amplitudes and their deviations, and also short-term deviations from smoothed 11-year's variations are analyzed. The reasons of increase of temperature in lower atmosphere connected with natural and antropogeneous factors and the existing forecasts of climate change are discussed [1,2]. The connection between variability of solar activity for the period from 1950 up to 2006 including 18-23 cycles of 11-year solar activity and the forecast of solar variability till 2060 and basic climate making
parameters of atmosphere such as ozone variations, ultra-violet radiation, and temperature of tropostratosphere is analyzed. It is supposed that the significant decrease of solar activity level can result essential changes of temperature regime in troposphere. The high level of correlation between solar flair activity and UV-radiation is revealed. The increase of UV-radiation level takes place in periods of increasing of solar flair activity.
The analysis of long-term changes of temperature regime of the lower stratosphere at levels 16 and 22 km has shown, that the total decrease of temperature corresponds to total decrease of ozone concentration. Thus the sharp changes of ozone concentration correspond to sharp decrease of temperature. In troposphere
in this period the constant increase of temperature is observed. This fact illustrates a principle of compensation of atmospheric processes.
The researches of the basic peculiarities of the regional tendencies of change of atmospheric parametres within
Kyrgyzstan in conditions of constantly amplifying antropogeneous impact are carried out. The quantitative estimations
of a background temperature in middle- and high-altitude areas of Kyrgyzstan are received.
The specific contribution of greenhouse effect and dynamic factors in a gain of a lower layer atmosphere temperature is
designed. The estimations show, that greenhouse effect connected with increase in region of the concentration CO2 on
7% for 10 years can result in increase of a lower layer atmosphere temperature on 0,28 degrees, that makes half from an
actual level of increase of temperature. The stayed half, obviously, is caused by the factor connected to dynamic cany of
heat from low latitudes.
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