Open Access
12 July 2024 Power of prediction: spatiotemporal Gaussian process modeling for predictive control in slope-based wavefront sensing
Jalo Nousiainen, Juha-Pekka Puska, Tapio Helin, Nuutti Hyvönen, Markus Kasper
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Abstract

Time delay error is a significant error source in adaptive optics (AO) systems. It arises from the latency between sensing the wavefront and applying the correction. Predictive control algorithms reduce the time delay error, providing significant performance gains, especially for high-contrast imaging. However, the predictive controller’s performance depends on factors such as the wavefront sensor (WFS) type, the measurement noise level, the AO system’s geometry, and the atmospheric conditions. We study the limits of prediction under different imaging conditions through spatiotemporal Gaussian process models. The method provides a predictive reconstructor that is optimal in the least-squares sense, conditioned on the fixed times series of WFS data and our knowledge of the atmospheric conditions. We demonstrate that knowledge is power in predictive AO control. With a Shack–Hartmann sensor-based extreme AO instrument, perfect knowledge of the wind and atmospheric profile and exact frozen flow evolution lead to a reduction of the residual wavefront phase variance up to a factor of 3.5 compared with a non-predictive approach. If there is uncertainty in the profile or evolution models, the gain is more modest. Still, assuming that only effective wind speed is available (without direction) led to reductions in variance by a factor of 2.3. We also study the value of data for predictive filters by computing the experimental utility for different scenarios to answer questions such as how many past telemetry frames should the prediction filter consider and whether is it always most advantageous to use the most recent data. We show that within the scenarios considered, more data provide a consistent increase in prediction accuracy. Furthermore, we demonstrate that given a computational limitation on how many past frames, we can use an optimized selection of n past frames, which leads to a 10% to 15% additional improvement in root mean square over using the n latest consecutive frames of data.

CC BY: © The Authors. Published by SPIE under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. Distribution or reproduction of this work in whole or in part requires full attribution of the original publication, including its DOI.
Jalo Nousiainen, Juha-Pekka Puska, Tapio Helin, Nuutti Hyvönen, and Markus Kasper "Power of prediction: spatiotemporal Gaussian process modeling for predictive control in slope-based wavefront sensing," Journal of Astronomical Telescopes, Instruments, and Systems 10(3), 039001 (12 July 2024). https://doi.org/10.1117/1.JATIS.10.3.039001
Received: 19 October 2023; Accepted: 24 June 2024; Published: 12 July 2024
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KEYWORDS
Wavefront sensors

Adaptive optics

Turbulence

Data modeling

Process modeling

Covariance matrices

Atmospheric modeling

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